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	<title>Comments on: The Singularity</title>
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	<link>http://singularity.org</link>
	<description>Asymptote Now</description>
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		<title>By: bifani</title>
		<link>http://singularity.org/the-singularity/comment-page-1/#comment-29</link>
		<dc:creator>bifani</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 19 Jul 2009 15:20:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://singularity.org/?page_id=9#comment-29</guid>
		<description>Singularity theory reminds me of a succession of half-lifes, which is an existing and provable phenomenon of the physical world (such as with nuclear decay), applied to the biological world:  

A given organism - human being for example - lives a first half-life of, say, 50 years, then 25, then 12 1/2, then 6 1/4, 3 1/8...never reaching 100, of course, but the rate of diminishing half-life terms soon takes on the explosive chart characteristics of a Singularity-type event trying to get there.

Similarly, every completed life-cycle may be expressed (after the fact) by a precise sequence of half-lifes that go deeply, and infinitely, into its minute of passing. 

Thus, if one treats the universe as an organism - physical, biological or both - , Singularity Theory&#039;s Law of Accelerated Returns begins to look much like a series of half-lifes, too.

But, just like a human being&#039;s base half-life can&#039;t be calculated to decimal accuracy until the end has occurred, so it is with the Singularity&#039;s ultimate point of explosion into universal, or universally expanding, smart matter.

We know from human experience that a nanogenerian is mowing through half-lifes at a pretty good clip because we know fifty years or so is about as big a base half-life as humans can currently hope for. 

But how do we really know the base half-life of the Universe?  To where we can plot it forward to a single solar year, 2045 - when Singularity theorists say man and machines merge and the Singularity begins to begin? 

Maybe. Or maybe it&#039;s 20,045.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Singularity theory reminds me of a succession of half-lifes, which is an existing and provable phenomenon of the physical world (such as with nuclear decay), applied to the biological world:  </p>
<p>A given organism &#8211; human being for example &#8211; lives a first half-life of, say, 50 years, then 25, then 12 1/2, then 6 1/4, 3 1/8&#8230;never reaching 100, of course, but the rate of diminishing half-life terms soon takes on the explosive chart characteristics of a Singularity-type event trying to get there.</p>
<p>Similarly, every completed life-cycle may be expressed (after the fact) by a precise sequence of half-lifes that go deeply, and infinitely, into its minute of passing. </p>
<p>Thus, if one treats the universe as an organism &#8211; physical, biological or both &#8211; , Singularity Theory&#8217;s Law of Accelerated Returns begins to look much like a series of half-lifes, too.</p>
<p>But, just like a human being&#8217;s base half-life can&#8217;t be calculated to decimal accuracy until the end has occurred, so it is with the Singularity&#8217;s ultimate point of explosion into universal, or universally expanding, smart matter.</p>
<p>We know from human experience that a nanogenerian is mowing through half-lifes at a pretty good clip because we know fifty years or so is about as big a base half-life as humans can currently hope for. </p>
<p>But how do we really know the base half-life of the Universe?  To where we can plot it forward to a single solar year, 2045 &#8211; when Singularity theorists say man and machines merge and the Singularity begins to begin? </p>
<p>Maybe. Or maybe it&#8217;s 20,045.</p>
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